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Canadian Housing Market Forecast for 2025

November 10, 2024
7 min read
Canadian Housing Market Forecast for 2025 - Market Updates blog post featured image

Whether you're a buyer waiting for the "right time," a seller wondering about pricing, or an investor evaluating opportunities, understanding what 2025 likely holds for Canadian real estate will help you make smarter decisions.


National Overview

After cooling in 2023 and early 2024, the market is finding stability:

  • Home sales: Expected to increase 5-8% year-over-year
  • Prices: Modest growth of 2-4% nationally
  • Inventory: Gradually improving but still tight in many markets

The combination of lower interest rates and continued population growth creates a floor under prices.


Regional Highlights

Greater Toronto Area (GTA)

  • Strong demand from population growth
  • Condo market recovery expected as rates ease
  • Detached homes remain competitive
  • First-time buyers returning to market

Greater Vancouver

  • Persistent affordability challenges
  • Strong demand for single-family homes
  • Suburban markets gaining popularity
  • Pre-sale activity picking up

Calgary & Edmonton

  • Relative affordability attracting interprovincial buyers
  • Strong economic fundamentals from energy sector
  • Continued price appreciation expected
  • Best value among major metros

Ottawa & Montreal

  • Stable, balanced markets
  • Good value compared to Toronto/Vancouver
  • First-time buyer activity strong
  • Government employment provides stability

Take Action Before the Spring Rush

If you're planning to buy in 2025, getting pre-approved now puts you ahead of spring competition. Lock in your rate and know your budget before listings surge.


Key Factors Shaping 2025

Interest Rates

Expected gradual decreases from the Bank of Canada. Even modest drops improve affordability and buyer confidence. Learn how rate decisions affect your mortgage.

Immigration

Record immigration levels (400,000+ annually) support housing demand. New arrivals typically rent initially but transition to buying within 2-3 years. See our newcomer mortgage guide.

Supply Constraints

New construction isn't keeping pace with demand. Zoning reforms may help long-term, but 2025 supply remains tight.

Government Policies

First-time buyer incentives expanding, including the First Home Savings Account. Use these programs to maximize your purchasing power.

Get Ahead of the Market

Get pre-approved now before spring competition heats up.

Get Pre-Approved

Our Advice for 2025

For Buyers:
Don't try to time the market perfectly. Focus on what you can afford and finding a home that meets your needs. Getting pre-approved is the essential first step.

For Sellers:
Price realistically based on current conditions. Overpriced listings sit while properly priced homes still sell quickly.

For Investors:
Look for cash-flowing properties in growing secondary markets. Consider investment property financing options.


FAQ

Q: Will home prices drop in 2025?
A: Significant drops are unlikely. Most forecasters expect flat to modest gains. Supply constraints and population growth support prices.

Q: Is it a good time to buy?
A: If you can afford it and plan to stay 5+ years, yes. Trying to perfectly time the market rarely works out.

Q: Should I wait for rates to drop more?
A: Lower rates could mean more competition and higher prices. "Date the rate, marry the house" is sound advice.

Q: What about the condo market?
A: Condos, especially in Toronto, have been softer. This creates opportunities for first-time buyers with lower budgets.


What's Next

Stay informed about market changes by [subscribing to our newsletter](#newsletter). Ready to make a move? Get pre-approved to understand your purchasing power in today's market.

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Contact us today for personalized mortgage advice and competitive rates.