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Your Car Payment Could Be Worth $390,000 — Here’s the Math

Voytek Jedrusiak Voytek Jedrusiak
February 5, 2026
8 min read
Updated Mar 4, 2026
Your Car Payment Could Be Worth $390,000 — Here’s the Math - Financial Advice blog post featured image

This is not an argument against owning a car. It's a comparison of what happens when the same monthly budget goes in two completely different directions for five years—and what compound interest does with the gap over the next three decades.

Two Canadians. Same income. Same monthly budget for transportation. Radically different outcomes by retirement.


Jake Finances a $48,000 Car

Jake walks into a dealership and finances a new SUV. Here are his numbers:

Detail Amount
<strong>Vehicle Price</strong> $48,000
<strong>Interest Rate</strong> 7.99% (average Canadian auto loan, 2026)
<strong>Term</strong> 60 months
<strong>Monthly Payment</strong> $950
<strong>Total Paid After 5 Years</strong> $57,000
<strong>Interest Cost</strong> $9,000
<strong>Car Value at Year 5</strong> ~$19,200 (60% depreciation)

After five years, Jake has paid $57,000 for something worth $19,200. The $37,800 difference is gone—split between interest and depreciation.

At age 65, that car is worth nothing. The money is unrecoverable.


Sarah Buys Used and Invests the Difference

Sarah takes a different approach. She buys a reliable $8,000 used car in cash and redirects $583 per month into her TFSA.

Why $583? That's $7,000 per year—the 2026 TFSA annual contribution limit.

Year Annual Contribution Cumulative Invested Portfolio Value (7% return)
1 $7,000 $7,000 $7,490
2 $7,000 $14,000 $15,504
3 $7,000 $21,000 $24,089
4 $7,000 $28,000 $33,295
5 $7,000 $35,000 $43,176

After five years, Sarah has contributed $35,000 and her TFSA has grown to approximately $43,176.

She also spent $8,000 on the car. Her total outlay: $43,000—compared to Jake's $57,000.

Compare TFSA vs RRSP for saving strategies


The 30-Year Gap

Here is where the math gets striking. Even if Sarah never contributes another dollar after year five, her $43,176 continues to compound at a 7% average annual return:

Sarah's Age Years Compounding TFSA Value
35 5 (contribution phase) $43,176
40 10 $60,556
45 15 $84,934
50 20 $119,126
55 25 $167,070
60 30 $234,317
65 35 $328,668

If Sarah keeps contributing even $200/month beyond year five, the portfolio crosses $390,000+ by age 65.

All of it tax-free. That's the power of the TFSA—no tax on withdrawals, no tax on growth, no tax on dividends inside the account.

Jake's $57,000 car? Worth $0 at age 65. The gap between these two decisions isn't about five years. It's about 35 years of compounding.


Why This Matters for Your Mortgage

The same opportunity cost logic applies to every major financial decision—including your mortgage rate.

A 0.25% rate difference on a $500,000 mortgage over 25 years:

Scenario Rate Monthly Payment Total Interest
<strong>Rate A</strong> 4.99% $2,908 $372,400
<strong>Rate B</strong> 4.74% $2,836 $351,100
<strong>Savings</strong> 0.25% $72/month <strong>$21,300</strong>

That $72/month difference? Invested in a TFSA at 7% over 25 years, it grows to over $58,000.

Shopping your mortgage rate isn't about being cheap. It's about redirecting money from interest payments to wealth-building.

Calculate your potential savings with a refinance


The TFSA Advantage Canadians Overlook

The TFSA is one of the most powerful wealth-building tools available to Canadians, yet most people use it as a savings account earning 2%:

TFSA Fact Detail
<strong>Annual Limit (2026)</strong> $7,000
<strong>Cumulative Room (since 2009)</strong> $95,000
<strong>Tax on Growth</strong> $0
<strong>Tax on Withdrawals</strong> $0
<strong>Withdrawal Restrictions</strong> None—withdraw anytime
<strong>Re-contribution</strong> Room restored January 1 following withdrawal
<strong>Over-contribution Penalty</strong> 1% per month on excess amount

Unlike an RRSP, you don't pay tax when you take money out. Unlike a non-registered account, you don't pay tax on dividends, interest, or capital gains earned inside it.

Learn about the FHSA for first-time buyers


It's Not About the Car

Nobody is saying you should never buy a nice car. The point is simpler than that: the real cost of any major purchase isn't the sticker price. It's what that money could have done instead, given decades to compound.

A $950 monthly car payment feels manageable. But $950 per month invested for five years, then left alone for 30 more? That's retirement-changing money.

Every dollar has two lives: what it buys today, and what it could grow into tomorrow. The $390,000 question is which life you choose for it.

Keep More of Your Money Working

The same opportunity cost logic applies to your mortgage. Let us find you a rate that puts money back in your pocket.

Frequently Asked Questions

Yes. Contributions are made with after-tax dollars, but all growth—interest, dividends, capital gains—is permanently tax-free. Withdrawals are tax-free at any age for any reason.
This isn't about driving an unsafe vehicle. Sarah's $8,000 used car is a 3-4 year old model with warranty remaining. The comparison is about the $40,000+ premium for "new" and what that money could do instead.
Yes. Unused room accumulates. If you've never contributed and turned 18 in 2009 or earlier, you have $95,000 of room available in 2026.
An RRSP gives you a tax deduction now but you pay tax on withdrawals in retirement. For most Canadians under 40, the TFSA provides more flexibility and often a better after-tax outcome—especially if you expect your income to be higher in retirement.
You can withdraw from your TFSA anytime for any purpose—including a home purchase. The withdrawn room is restored the following January 1st. This makes the TFSA an excellent vehicle for saving toward a down payment while your money grows tax-free.